PSA:
— Irene Sans (@IreneSans) June 12, 2018
Typical areas for tropical development in June.
If you see ONE model output with a storm in any of these, odds might be in favor, but it doesn't mean there will be one.
It might be statistically correct, but there is no context to it.
Beware of false weather information. pic.twitter.com/2G7RmzDNDB
What's the forecast? 2018 Hurricane forecast: NOAA Predicts near- or above-average season
Are you noticing tropical hype? Know that there're several ingredients that go into making of trop. system
— Irene Sans (@IreneSans) May 18, 2018
Water temps might be warm,but they're NOT the only ingredient. Also, there's NOTHING to track yet. Nothing. I am monitoring this, you don't need to stress over this yet. pic.twitter.com/AHxNaCpLKR
WATCH MORE WEATHER FACTS AND HACKS
- Is this coming from a known source? Are you sure? Double-check on sources. At times, people who are looking for likes and shares copy logos and write unscientific analysis just to gain popularity.
- Why are they showing only one weather model? Just because a certain model got it right last time doesn't necessarily mean that it will get it right this time. Again, the atmosphere is constantly changing. Until several models -- such as GFS, Euro and ensembles, and their different outputs -- start to show similar outcomes, there is nothing to worry about.
- How far is this so-called forecast? Showing a model that is five or more days out is simply wrong. See list item No. 2.
- Is there a developed low-pressure area? Models -- some more than others -- often tend to spin off systems at the beginning of the season. The truth is that, if there is no developed area, models can't get a good grasp of any system.
SEE: EYE ON THE TROPICS
Be aware! Social garbage WILL get spread this hurricane season. Stay with trusted sources - it’ll save needless panic! If you ever have any questions about anything, let me know! 🙂
Posted by Brian Shields, WFTV on Wednesday, May 16, 2018
Notice a pattern? All these are really messy. (and those are the ones named!)
— Irene Sans (@IreneSans) May 21, 2018
There is a LOW CHANCE for anything to develop & *IF** it does.. it will be messy and not much different than what Florida's had last/this week. Don't stress, we've got a long time to go. ✌️ pic.twitter.com/T0Lag8wiSy
Are you noticing tropical hype? Know that there're several ingredients that go into making of trop. system
Water temps might be warm,but they're NOT the only ingredient. Also, there's NOTHING to track yet. Nothing. I am monitoring this, you don't need to stress over this yet. pic.twitter.com/AHxNaCpLKR
— Irene Sans (@IreneSans)
Cox Media Group