Invest 93L likely to strengthen into a tropical storm or hurricane moving toward Florida next week

ORLANDO, Fla. — Update:

Chief meteorologist Tom Terry said Friday that Invest 93L is very disorganized and will likely remain that way this weekend.

But he said the first spaghetti models show what other global models indicate -- that we’ll be expecting a tropical storm or hurricane moving toward Florida next week.

Read: Florida offers tax break on hurricane supplies this weekend

“As we closely monitor disturbance 93L in the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico this weekend, make sure you’re double-checking your basic hurricane supplies,” Terry said.

Florida will offer a tax break on hurricane supplies this weekend. Click here to read more about that.

And click here to download our free news and weather apps to stay informed of the latest developments.

0 of 26

Earlier story:

Afternoon forecast: Friday, Aug. 25 Afternoon forecast: Friday, Aug. 25 (WFTV)

Channel 9 meteorologists are closely monitoring an area of disturbed weather in the western Caribbean that could bring our next tropical system to Florida.

▶ WATCH CHANNEL 9 EYEWITNESS NEWS

As of Friday morning, the storm system is near Belize and the Yucatan and moving towards the Gulf of Mexico.

By Sunday and Monday, it should start to develop near western Cuba.

As it enters the Gulf, it could form into a tropical storm and then swing into the west coast of Florida late Tuesday and Wednesday.

Read: Trump surrenders to face Georgia election charges, mug shot released

This is a tough system to forecast for several reasons.

It will be a late-forming system and could impact land only a day and a half after developing.

0 of 26

Water temperatures in the Gulf are very warm and could allow the storm to rapidly intensify.

Watch: Scrubbed: NASA, SpaceX reschedule Crew-7 launch

There is also no guarantee that the storm will develop at all.

If this becomes a named system, it will be Idalia.

However, because it could spin up so close to Florida, it’s a concern for tropical impacts to our area.

Read: 9 things to do this weekend: National Cinema Day, Colin Jost

The most likely scenario as of Friday morning is that we could have some tropical storm conditions Tuesday night into Wednesday.

Channel 9 will continue to monitor the system and how it evolves over the weekend.

Follow our Severe Weather team on Twitter for live updates:

• Chief meteorologist Tom Terry
• Kassandra Crimi
• George Waldenberger
• Brian Shields

©2023 Cox Media Group